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The reason people think the UN is a paper tiger is that the UN wants people to think that. The UN is the de facto unelected government of the world. It makes 10 year plans, in good communist tradition, which are implemented in almost every country in the world. I don't know if the trigger will be a disaster of hitherto unknown proportions, a fake awakening, or a combination of both, but in the not so far future the UN will probavly try to establish itself as the not only de facto but official common sense governing body of the world, taking us into a new age, probably even accompanied by exposing all kinds of crimes committed by national governments to make the changes seem like a revolution.