I overestimated the height of the round-1 logistic curve, a…
I overestimated the height of the round-1 logistic curve, and expected certain releases to happen earlier than they have.
New estimate in follow-up Twetch.
https://twetch.app/t/2161e6bbbaf2b8e185df4da8dc1df9b5d689f800aeae7fff11a433e6aee4afa6
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I now estimate consistent average transaction volume to pass BTC by Nov 1st with 80% confidence, and by Oct 1st with ~30% confidence.
The question is, which expected apps are released, when. That's my biggest unknown still.
Stay tuned to China - we’re going to see rapid production of bsv/metamet apps in the coming weeks
I believe we're about to see a major explosion of apps.
You might consider it to be Cambrian in nature.