@@gpt-5 why is the US moving gold from Bank of England?

metamitya ·

@@gpt-5 why is the US moving gold from Bank of England?

Replies

metamitya ·

**Short answer:** It isn’t the U.S. government moving its official gold reserves. It’s mostly commercial banks and traders pulling their bullion out of the Bank of England and flying it to New York.

metamitya ·

Why they’re doing it:
- Tariff risk: Reports say banks are racing to move bars before potential new U.S. import tariffs could apply to gold, which would make later shipments more expensive.
- Price arbitrage: New York has been trading at a premium to London, so moving bars can capture a better price or meet U.S. delivery demand.
- Market logistics: Banks want metal in U.S. vaults to fulfill client deliveries and collateral needs in the U.S. market (e.g., futures delivery), which has created a queue to withdraw from the BoE.

metamitya ·

Context and reports:
- About 8,000 bars have been moved from the BoE in recent months, with withdrawal slots reportedly booked up and the BoE’s stock dipping around 2% since year-end, per news coverage.
- The BoE doesn’t just hold the U.K.’s reserves—it also stores gold for other central banks and commercial banks, so these flows reflect private-market positioning rather than U.S. sovereign policy.

metamitya ·

Sources you can check:
- Independent: https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/jpmorgan-gold-banks-trump-tariffs-london-new-york-b2698797.html
- Yahoo Finance: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/why-u-banks-flying-gold-105849088.html
- CNN: https://www.cnn.com/2025/02/07/business/gold-bank-of-england-trump-tariffs-intl
- Fortune: https://fortune.com/europe/2025/01/31/waiting-time-get-gold-out-bank-england-reportedly-octupled-trump-tariff-threats-spark-exodus-us/

metamitya ·

If you meant U.S. government reserves specifically: the U.S. stores its official gold mostly at Fort Knox, West Point, and Denver—not at the Bank of England.

metamitya ·

@@gpt-5 what about this https://x.com/stackhodler/status/1953731524290879783

metamitya ·

**Short take:** That X post is an interesting theory, but there’s no hard evidence that the U.S. is engineering a gold short squeeze to revalue its gold and buy bitcoin.

metamitya ·

What’s real/verified:
- Banks have been moving bullion from London (including the BoE’s vaults, which hold for many clients) to New York, largely for pricing/logistics reasons and to get ahead of potential U.S. import duties. Multiple outlets have reported this flow and longer withdrawal queues at the BoE.
- Major outlets report new U.S. tariffs that would hit certain gold bar imports (notably 1kg and 100oz bars), with Switzerland singled out by a 39% country tariff. Switzerland does refine a large share (~70%) of the world’s gold.

metamitya ·

What’s speculative or unproven in the post:
- That the U.S. government is deliberately “squeezing” gold shorts to revalue its official gold and then buy BTC. I don’t know of any official confirmation tying the Swiss tariff to that goal.
- That Treasury could simply mark its gold to market and spend the paper gains. By law, U.S. gold is recorded at $42.22/oz (31 USC §§5116–5117). Revaluing to market and turning the resulting “gain” into spendable cash would likely require congressional action/appropriation, not just an internal accounting change.
- A price target like $6,000/oz is conjecture. Tariffs can distort flows and widen spreads (London vs. New York), but a forced short squeeze to that level is a prediction, not evidence.

metamitya ·

Context on logistics:
- COMEX delivery has historically centered on 100 oz bars (with other deliverables allowed in recent years). A tariff on Swiss-origin 1kg/100oz bars could tighten U.S. supply in the near term, but alternative sources and forms (e.g., London bars, non‑Swiss refineries) can partly offset over time—just at higher friction/cost.

metamitya ·

Bottom line: The tariff news and bullion flows are real; the “gold squeeze to fund BTC” narrative is a speculative interpretation without official backing. If you want, I can pull the latest primary-source links on the tariff scope and any formal statements on gold revaluation or BTC purchases.

metamitya ·

Short take on that post: it mixes real developments with a very speculative narrative.

metamitya ·

What’s real right now
- Banks/traders (not the U.S. government) have been pulling bullion from the Bank of England and flying it to New York to meet delivery needs and get ahead of potential tariffs/spreads. See coverage: CNN, FT, Bloomberg, Yahoo.
- Reports today say the U.S. will apply tariffs to imported 1 kg and 100 oz gold bars, with Switzerland facing an effective 39% rate given “reciprocal” tariffs. This helps explain why New York futures spiked versus London. Sources: FT, Bloomberg, Guardian, Yahoo.
- COMEX does accept 1 kg and 400 oz bars, so tariffs on Swiss kilobars can tighten U.S. deliverable supply at the margin. But the U.S. can also source bars from non‑Swiss refiners (U.S., Canada, others), and 400 oz bars can be used too.

metamitya ·

What’s unproven or unlikely
- “Engineered short squeeze to revalue gold and buy BTC”: There’s no official indication that the tariff move was designed to squeeze gold shorts. Public framing is broad trade policy/reciprocity. I don’t know of any confirmed plan tying the tariffs to a gold squeeze.
- “Revalue gold, drop ~$1.5T into Treasury, buy Bitcoin”: The U.S. Treasury books gold at $42.22/oz. Marking it to market would create a large accounting gain at high prices, but turning that into spendable cash isn’t automatic and likely requires congressional action. Analysts debate whether any portion (often cited up to ~hundreds of billions at current prices) could be accessed under existing authorities; $1.5T would imply ~$6,000/oz and explicit policy moves. There is no official announcement to acquire Bitcoin; if one exists, I haven’t seen it.

metamitya ·

Other clarifications
- U.S. official gold reserves aren’t stored at the Bank of England; they’re mainly at Fort Knox, West Point, and Denver. The BoE withdrawals are mostly commercial-market flows.
- Even with tariffs, a sustained move to $6,000/oz driven solely by logistics/tariffs would be a tall order without broader macro demand.

metamitya ·

Bottom line: The post stitches together real facts (tariffs on bars, Swiss refining’s importance, New York premiums, BoE withdrawals) but the motive (“engineered short squeeze” to fund a BTC purchase) is speculative and not supported by official policy or clear legal mechanics for instantly monetizing a revaluation.